Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.445460 0.493083 0.544309 0.603614 0.670516 0.743801 0.830358
2025-06-01 0.373362 0.440009 0.517080 0.613262 0.730729 0.870348 1.050083
2025-06-08 0.326211 0.400443 0.490456 0.608561 0.760794 0.952241 1.214128
2025-06-15 0.296225 0.375812 0.476116 0.613264 0.798170 1.042063 1.393546
2025-06-22 0.267470 0.348671 0.454333 0.603883 0.813322 1.101080 1.534948
2025-06-29 0.245192 0.327350 0.437317 0.597822 0.830418 1.162056 1.683284
2025-07-06 0.220279 0.300010 0.409282 0.572968 0.817184 1.176647 1.762344
2025-07-13 0.208849 0.290268 0.404582 0.580459 0.850897 1.262417 1.958930
2025-07-20 0.198535 0.281135 0.399726 0.586777 0.882647 1.347248 2.162690
2025-07-27 0.189295 0.272752 0.395100 0.592641 0.913585 1.432908 2.376862
2025-08-03 0.180253 0.263931 0.388995 0.595375 0.939215 1.511595 2.587321
2025-08-10 0.172854 0.257029 0.385200 0.601219 0.970041 1.601338 2.827672
2025-08-17 0.161464 0.243370 0.370149 0.587859 0.967773 1.634509 2.969032
2025-08-24 0.155719 0.238250 0.368336 0.596424 1.004295 1.740528 3.265122
2025-08-31 0.147839 0.229159 0.359383 0.591923 1.016818 1.803202 3.482018
2025-09-07 0.142378 0.223634 0.355874 0.596474 1.045966 1.899709 3.781281
2025-09-14 0.134854 0.214229 0.345209 0.587389 1.048617 1.944661 3.975456
2025-09-21 0.128484 0.206389 0.336704 0.581518 1.056741 2.000999 4.202039
2025-09-28 0.119531 0.193674 0.319019 0.557444 1.027255 1.977511 4.242568
2025-10-05 0.116303 0.190639 0.318115 0.564701 1.060557 2.088092 4.613548
2025-10-12 0.113093 0.187445 0.316705 0.570821 1.091969 2.197715 4.998432
2025-10-19 0.110008 0.184293 0.315156 0.576500 1.122860 2.309278 5.405150
2025-10-26 0.106670 0.180505 0.312204 0.579149 1.147474 2.409184 5.797143